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Project successes and failures
Projects completed
Of the 174 major IT projects that were either current or initiated over the last five years, 168 had been completed or were still in progress. Three had been dropped and another three were on hold.
Costs in relation to budget
A number (14 percent) of completed projects came in over budget. The total over-expenditure, however, was only two percent ($3.8 million) of the total of the budgets for all completed projects ($190 million). Three projects went over budget by 20 percent or more.
There was under-expenditure on projects, which corresponded to four percent ($7.2 million) of the total of the budgets for all completed projects. Overall, therefore, there was a two percent under-expenditure on the total budget.
Definition of failure
Few IT projects end up exactly as planned. Statistics from the USA indicate that only nine percent of IT projects in the public and private sector are com-pleted on time and within budget; 31 percent are cancelled before completion; and of those completed, 53 percent cost, on average, 189 percent of their ori-ginal estimates . These original estimates4 are commonly based on sophisticated project ma-nage-ment, with precise goals for budgets, staffing, functionality and timelines. More than 80 percent of new system initiatives fail to meet one or more of these goals, but IT managers are constrained to assess these projects as failures.
In many cases, sophisticated set-ups, the increa-sing complexity of IT, and rapid changes in technology mean that projects are unlikely to meet their budget. At the same time, be-cause projects reflect key business processes that may be undergoing significant re-engi-neer-ing, new implementations of core systems may take much longer than planned because their delivery requires the interaction of many departments and layers of management.
Because large-scale projects involve complex technical and managerial planning, expectations of achieving project goals should be set within reasonable boundaries, and in the light of changing technological developments.
Gartner Group suggests that a definition for large-scale project failure is going over allotted time or budget by 30 percent or more. On the basis of traditional timelines for return on investment, this level of divergence will, in many cases, delay the expected revenue stream for new systems long enough to cancel their business value.
New Zealand Government experience
The stocktake shows that the NZ Public Service success rate is different to success rates overseas, as shown by available figures. With very few projects dropped or coming in 20 percent or more over budget, departments appear to have performed well in terms of completing projects on budget.
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