| Archive - these pages are part of the continuing record of Executive Government - for the current Administration, see www.beehive.govt.nz |
Minister of Agriculture
Dr The Hon Lockwood Smith
Annual General Meeting
Meat and Wool Section, Federated Farmers
James Cook Centra, Wellington
Friday 7 June 1996
It's 100 days since I became Minister of Agriculture. A few journalists
at the time suggested I was being easy ride after five and a half
years of education. They couldn't have been more wrong. Most prominently,
there have been the BSE and fruitfly scares. Dealing with those
scares was of immediate and critical importance. But what was
unfortunate about the scares, apart from the obvious, is that
they distracted attention away from the long-term issue of how
to improve farmgate returns, particularly in the sheep and cattle
industries.
I know only too well that returns for beef and wool are down.
According to MAF, average revenue for sheep and beef farmers was
down 6.5% last year. I would have thought it was worse than that.
The reason? In the last year, US beef commodity prices have plunged.
International commodity prices for wool are down.
Those price drops have been felt directly by farmers in New Zealand.
I'm no exception, with my cattle selling for around 25% less than
a year ago. To some extent - but, I stress, only to some extent
- the impact of the international price drops has been compounded
by the rise of the kiwi dollar. In the case of beef, it's responsible
for 18% of the drop, compared with the 82% which can be blamed
on the US market.
If the dollar were as big a problem as some would have you believe, then it's difficult to see how dairy farmers have experienced a 19% increase revenue in the last year and are receiving an all-time record payout. And if a declining dollar is the key to New Zealand's agricultural success, you would have thought we'd be sitting pretty given the decline you see here from 1979 to 1992. The real issue is the extent to which we can extract value from the marketplace.
As we look to the future, there will be the occasional bump upwards
in commodity prices but the general trend will be down. It doesn't
matter whether the commodity is frozen beef, frozen lamb, wool
or video recorders or personal computers, the price trend for
commodities has been down for the last 200 years and it will continue
to be down. The rising dollar, while contributing to our woes,
is not the key factor. And it has a flip-side in that we have
been protected from recent international price rises for fertiliser
and fuel.
One hundred days ago, I had my own ideas about how the industry
needed to move forward if it was to remain New Zealand's most
important. What I didn't know was whether my personal ideas were
the way-out views of one Northland beef farmer or whether they
could represent an agenda for action. So I've set out to get around
the country to find out. I've spoken to farmers as far north as
Waitangi and as far south as Winton. I'll re-cap what I've told
them.
I look at things from a different perspective from those who talk
about adding-value. Adding-value can be useful. But it's no use
adding $10 of value if it costs you $20. Barrie Saunders, yesterday,
gave examples of value-added approaches where the costs involved
exceeded the extra value that could be extracted.
What I believe is that there is value in the marketplace already.
Consumers in supermarkets or restaurants overseas are willing
to pay premiums for products they perceive to be better, and which
they can rely on to be of consistent quality. We need to extract
that value - with those premiums - back to the farmgate. That's
the only way to avoid being victims of the ever decreasing value
of commodities I mentioned earlier.
I want you to look at this. The top line here shows the value
of beef on the US commodity market. The bottom line shows the
schedule price. They mimic one another. Every time the US price
has gone up, beef farmers here have earned more, and thought the
industry was doing well. But every time the US price fell, beef
farmers have felt it in their pockets, and decried the state of
the industry. In fact, in either case the industry has been doing
hopelessly. Without being too harsh, I'm concerned that if that
US line should just happen to increase a little in the future,
we'll lose the current enthusiasm for change.
Now look at lamb, comparing the UK retail price with the New Zealand
schedule price. When SMPs were abolished, the schedule collapsed.
The industry was forced to change or, by now, there would have
been no lamb industry. Look how the schedule price has crept upwards
relative to the UK indicator market. More value was extracted
from the international market. I don't have comparative data for
wool. But given we still rely on the auction system to sell our
wool, I'm willing to bet that growers are receiving the lowest
possible return for their product. Undoubtedly, the wool situation
will be similar to beef.
There are a whole lot of reasons why lamb has done relatively
better than beef over recent years. I want to mention just one:
marketing of chilled meat. Look how lamb has increased its volumes
of chilled meat, whereas beef has remained practically static.
Chilled lamb is worth over $8,000 a tonne FOB, compared with carcass
lamb that earns just over $2,000. According to the Nimmo-Bell
report, chilled beef is worth $4,100 a tonne FOB more than frozen
beef.
In other words, by getting out of the frozen meat commodity market
and into higher value consumer markets, we can forget about 6.5%
changes in income. We can more than double returns. And if we
farmers manage to double our returns, then I don't think many
of us would even notice what happens to the kiwi dollar, except
as it impacts on the price of imports.
How do we get there? Around the country, I've emphasised three
factors.
Underpinning all that must be longer-term relationships between
exporters and overseas users, and between exporters and farmers.
Before we do anything, meat companies and wool exporters have
to identify what consumers want. They need to identify the consumers
who can be encouraged to buy New Zealand products. That may not
be what traders want.
The best example is the stupidity in trying to sell fatty beef,
especially when the Americans have the fatty, marbled, beef market
tied up. The traders love fat on meat. It makes it easier to transport
and store, and more forgiving of abuse. But our own Meat Board's
research shows that many consumers hate it. That's why they're
eating chicken. In researching our market, it's no good trying
to me-too our competitors. We need to find
a niche for New Zealand products, and, in the case of beef, that niche
could be low-fat grass-fed beef.
The second point I've made around the country is that we have
to control the distribution of the product as close as possible
to the final consumer. You can't sell high quality products unless
you can guarantee quality through to the end user. It's just impossible,
for example, to sell chilled meat to consumers if you don't control
distribution right through to the supermarket. Who knows what
some trader might do to it? The third component of my strategy
is for exporters to pay farmers for meeting quality standards,
based on what the consumer wants. On the domestic market, Woolworths
has started to do it. Woolworths pays a premium for meat which
meets its specifications. Failure to meet the specifications leads
to a reduction in the price.
The system I would ultimately want to see is for us to be able
to trace the animal right through to the final cut. And the farmers
who produced animals with more of the meat that consumers want,
would be paid premiums for it. That, in turn, gives farmers an
incentive to breed better animals with more of the meat consumers
want.
Better processing can also contribute. Researchers at the Meat
Industry Research Institute of New Zealand are examining the possibility
of increasing to 30% the muscle of cattle that can go into high
quality table cuts. That's up from between 10 and 15% today. In
Belgium, they get up to 40% into high quality table cuts, thanks
to better breeding and processing.
Underpinning all this must be long-term relationships. For example,
in the wool industry, I see an exporter signing a long-term contract
with an overseas clothing manufacturer to supply the exact specification
of wool required, when required. The exporter would then sign
long-term contracts with growers to produce that wool, including
premiums for those who most often met the specifications.
I see meat companies signing long-term contracts with farmers
to produce the meat that the companies in turn are contracted
to supply to overseas supermarket chains. The market signals would
be making their way to the farmgate. Farmers wouldn't see themselves
as supplying meat for Bob from the meat company, but for the consumer
in the aisle of a supermarket overseas.
As I said at the outset, these were my ideas 100 days ago. I've
found they have been largely endorsed by farmers around New Zealand.
And they have been endorsed by accounting firm Ernst & Young
in its report to the Meat Board and the meat companies. Says
Ernst & Young: "red meats are largely marketed as they were a generation ago". The firm says:
"The Red-Meat Industry is unlikely to compete on price ".
The
alternative is to compete on the basis of quality and differentiation."
It argues strongly that we need to shift our focus away from short-term
commodity trading to longer term, stable vending of products.
We need to "identify unique attributes of New Zealand meat
products that confer benefits on consumers". On distribution,
the report is just as clear. "Control of distribution
chains
will play a significant role in who captures the total value chain
for New Zealand red-meat, because branding requires control over
the distribution and supply systems."
Ernst & Young says farmers need to be paid for quality.
It says the grading and schedule system "splendidly isolated
farmers from the subtleties of changing market signals".
Farmers are denied "consistent rewards for providing
a product
that [meets] a particular market specification." "The
averaging effect acted as a significant disincentive to farmers
considering investment … to improve productivity, for
their
efforts would go largely unrewarded".
Significantly, the lack of trust between farmers and companies
was also highlighted by Ernst & Young. "The single
biggest
impediment to moving to a focus on quality and differentiation
has been the lack of long term commitments and partnerships between
farmers and meat processors."
After speaking with farmers and reading reports for the last 100
days, I now have a new question: If the Minister of Agriculture,
farmers and reports to the industry all say the same thing, why
isn't it happening? I met with the Meat Board, the Meat Industry
Association and Federated Farmers last week to discuss the future
of the grading system. The Meat Board's reaction to my suggestion
that we take the grading system out of legislation was, to be
diplomatic, hesitant. I was told that a recent survey showed 85%
of farmers in favour of the grading system. In my travels, I must
have met the other 15%.
I must say that I think John Acland has misunderstood my proposal,
given his comments yesterday. I do not propose scrapping the grading
system overnight. I propose only not to include it in legislation.
If, as John says, it gives meat companies a market advantage then
obviously they will continue with it.
His comments also reflect exactly what I see to be the problem
with the system. He says that overseas importers - traders - think
we would be crazy to do away with it. Those traders, he says,
have ordered our meat sight unseen for the last 20 or 30 years.
These are the benefits of the system. And, of course, there are
benefits. The system does make life easier for foreign traders.
But John hardly mentioned the consumer. And that is the problem
with the system. It is set up to make life easier for the trader.
It ignores the consumer. And by doing so it means farmers and
meat companies and everyone else in the industry is focused on
pleasing those traders. The focus is not on the consumer. The
schedule system creates a barrier between the farmer and the people
who finally consume our product.
As I said, I do not propose that it be scrapped. But I believe
that if we have the system in legislation we give it too great
a standing. And we provide the perfect disincentive for meat companies
to design more innovative and market-sensitive means of paying
farmers. I have yet to decide whether to include the grading
system in the Producer Board Acts Reform Bill. I will need to
do so in the next few days so as not to delay any further the
introduction of the legislation. The bill has been delayed enough
already. The parliamentary counsel office has made a liar out
of me and I'm not happy about it. But enough pressure has now
been put on the office that I'm still hopeful we will manage to
sneak it through before the election.
Whether or not the grading system provisions are included in the
bill as introduced, I am convinced they should be removed before
it is finally passed. Removing the grading system would break
down the barrier between farmers and consumers. It would encourage
the development of payment systems based on consumer preferences,
rather than trader preferences. What may not be so popular is
that it would help stop the crazy game - which I've been guilty
of in the past - of farmers playing the meat companies off against
one another. It would encourage farmers to sign long term contracts
with the companies, which would stop those companies from wasting
the industry's resources on procurement. It would free those resources
for investment in the marketplace.
So this is what needs to happen. I will be an advocate in Wellington
for the ideas I'm hearing from farmers around New Zealand. I intend
to gather the necessary agreement from the industry to remove
the Meat Board's grading system from the final legislation. I
intend to host a seminar with the Meat Industry Research Institute
to disseminate their latest market research information and to
examine how to get a greater proportion of an animal into high
value cuts. I will put pressure on meat companies to improve their
investment in the marketplace. For that to be possible, farmers
need to put aside their hostility and look seriously at developing
long-term partnerships with meat companies.
The time for talk and debate and accounting firms' reports is
well and truly over. It is time for action by the Meat Board and
the meat companies, and also by farmers. We know what needs to
be done. It is time for the powers-that-be to get on and do it.
Home || Ministers || Policies || Speeches || Departments